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    22/11/2008

    哲学直觉告诉我~~

    Obama阵营真强大呀。巴菲特做经济顾问,希拉里做国务卿~~~。但是从哲学角度想,直觉上或许明年米国真的~~~。这样的所谓强强联合除了可以给大众以暂时的信心外,往往无法实现1+1大于2.理由如下:

    1)从历史和哲学上看,实现1+1大于2,靠的是内在的优势互补和有机整合。这样所谓的大牌拼在一起,呵呵~~(但愿他们的思路、意识和方法可以整合)。很多时候注重内在的1+1才有好效果,这次是吗?
    2)大牌们单个拉出来都不错,放在一起很多时候是1+1小于2的。他们都形成了自己的体系,在实力相当的时候,也往往比较固执。出现矛盾的时候,解决的效率或许要打折扣。
    3)如果这样的组合,目的是给人以信心。那么好,信心提前体现了。之后呢?如果表现不好,会不会更容易让大众有落差?
    4)也许是最核心的一条。这样的衰退,或许不是任何人可以解决的。我不太懂经济,不过也许类似感冒,你吃不吃药以及吃什么药都不特别重要。吃了也不会马上好,不吃的话时间到了自然也就好了。

    没有调查就没有发言权,我就没有调查,对提到的三个big figures也不了解。不过是从换个角度臆断一下。未来还是很美好的。。。。

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